Absolutely clear. A vote for the Liberals is most likely a vote for the Greens. Not definitely but most likely. Too risky if your goal is to defeat the Greens.
Burns needs to do a deal Liberal - it’s time for him to make a stand. Or we will all suffer the consequences!
In the 2022 federal election, Macnamara was one of the tightest three-way contests in the country:
• Labor (Josh Burns): 31.8%
• Greens: 29.7%
• Liberals: 29.0%
Labor only narrowly held the seat due to Greens preferences. A recent poll now shows:
• Liberals: 37.6%
• Greens: 27.9%
• Labor: 25.9%
If Labor comes third next time, Josh Burns is out—and Greens are in—unless there’s a strategic preference deal with the Liberals. Without it, Labor risks handing Macnamara to the Greens. It’s a numbers game, and Burns needs to act.
Even on your poll figures, chances are Greens win the seat. Whatever we may want, and even with an open how to vote card- one putting the Greens last won’t happen- if Labor finished third, Greens win the seat.
Burns still has time. He could do a deal, or he could cross the floor. But what’s increasingly clear is that the Labor Party—through its silence, its capitulation to fringe activists, and its refusal to draw a firm line—has shown its hand. They are no longer a reliable friend of the Jewish people in Australia.
As someone who has watched Australian politics for decades, this moment is deeply saddening. The Jewish community has long been part of the Labor fabric—loyal, engaged, values-driven. That trust is now fraying. And if Macnamara falls, it won’t be because the community walked away from Labor. It will be because Labor walked away from the community.
Sorry SK, but it is not completely in his hands, it is in the voters' hands. The voters of Macnamara are 90% non-Jewish and most Labor voters will preference the Greens ahead of the Liberals whatever the how to vote recommends. It is a largely progressive, educated and youthful electorate - all factors which do not favour the Liberals.
Peter Dutton and the Liberals are sliding in the national polls and especially so in inner city metropolitan seats like Macnamara. The latest polls reflect that the Liberals are down 52-48 nationally which is similar to the last election. It is completely implausible to think they could win an inner-city seat they lost by over 12% last time when they aren't even tracking for a swing elsewhere.
Tony and Michael are absolutely right - if stopping the Greens is your number one priority, then the only safe way to cast your vote is 1. Josh Burns and to then put the Greens below the Liberals on your preference order. That way you are having a say in who makes the final 2PP - if Burns gets into the top 2, the Greens can't win - but if Burns does finish third (I take the Advance poll with a grain of salt by the way) then your vote counts against the Greens a second time in the final 2PP between the Liberals and the Greens.
Thank you Tony. Your explanation is very helpful. I was going to vote for the Liberals (for the first time in my life) as a protest and vote for Josh second with the Teal second last and the Greens last. My primary aim is to keep the Greens out and I thought voting them last would be sufficient, but now that your article has explained the specific context in Macnamara, I understand the need to ensure that the ALP must achieve as many primary votes as possible to avoid being in 3rd place and then the majority of their preferences being distributed to the Greens. I get it now. Thanks again
Absolutely clear. A vote for the Liberals is most likely a vote for the Greens. Not definitely but most likely. Too risky if your goal is to defeat the Greens.
Burns needs to do a deal Liberal - it’s time for him to make a stand. Or we will all suffer the consequences!
In the 2022 federal election, Macnamara was one of the tightest three-way contests in the country:
• Labor (Josh Burns): 31.8%
• Greens: 29.7%
• Liberals: 29.0%
Labor only narrowly held the seat due to Greens preferences. A recent poll now shows:
• Liberals: 37.6%
• Greens: 27.9%
• Labor: 25.9%
If Labor comes third next time, Josh Burns is out—and Greens are in—unless there’s a strategic preference deal with the Liberals. Without it, Labor risks handing Macnamara to the Greens. It’s a numbers game, and Burns needs to act.
Why risk this outcome? VOTE Liberal
Even on your poll figures, chances are Greens win the seat. Whatever we may want, and even with an open how to vote card- one putting the Greens last won’t happen- if Labor finished third, Greens win the seat.
Burns still has time. He could do a deal, or he could cross the floor. But what’s increasingly clear is that the Labor Party—through its silence, its capitulation to fringe activists, and its refusal to draw a firm line—has shown its hand. They are no longer a reliable friend of the Jewish people in Australia.
As someone who has watched Australian politics for decades, this moment is deeply saddening. The Jewish community has long been part of the Labor fabric—loyal, engaged, values-driven. That trust is now fraying. And if Macnamara falls, it won’t be because the community walked away from Labor. It will be because Labor walked away from the community.
Thing is, do you want to deliver the seat to the Grrens? Even if what you say about Labor is right- and I agree with much of it though
I would not include Josh Burns- it would be a tragedy if we delivered the seat to the Greens.
I agree, it will be a tragedy - one that Burns can avoid if he chooses. Given the numbers, either way - it is completely in his hands
Sorry SK, but it is not completely in his hands, it is in the voters' hands. The voters of Macnamara are 90% non-Jewish and most Labor voters will preference the Greens ahead of the Liberals whatever the how to vote recommends. It is a largely progressive, educated and youthful electorate - all factors which do not favour the Liberals.
Peter Dutton and the Liberals are sliding in the national polls and especially so in inner city metropolitan seats like Macnamara. The latest polls reflect that the Liberals are down 52-48 nationally which is similar to the last election. It is completely implausible to think they could win an inner-city seat they lost by over 12% last time when they aren't even tracking for a swing elsewhere.
Tony and Michael are absolutely right - if stopping the Greens is your number one priority, then the only safe way to cast your vote is 1. Josh Burns and to then put the Greens below the Liberals on your preference order. That way you are having a say in who makes the final 2PP - if Burns gets into the top 2, the Greens can't win - but if Burns does finish third (I take the Advance poll with a grain of salt by the way) then your vote counts against the Greens a second time in the final 2PP between the Liberals and the Greens.
Thank you Tony. Your explanation is very helpful. I was going to vote for the Liberals (for the first time in my life) as a protest and vote for Josh second with the Teal second last and the Greens last. My primary aim is to keep the Greens out and I thought voting them last would be sufficient, but now that your article has explained the specific context in Macnamara, I understand the need to ensure that the ALP must achieve as many primary votes as possible to avoid being in 3rd place and then the majority of their preferences being distributed to the Greens. I get it now. Thanks again
The Teals were never running in Macnamara.
I wrote this before we knew who all the candidates were in Macnamara.
Such a helpful explanation! I don’t live in Macnamara but I will save with all my friends who do.
<<The party backs some of the world’s most violent, tyrannical, misogynist, anti-gay and racist regimes.>>
Name two.
Maureen Faruqi , Hamas, Hezbollah, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Muslim Brotherhood....and there's more.
They are naive hateful extremists, dangerous for Australia and worse for some Australians.